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Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Polls Show A Race Closer Than It Should Be

Go to pollster.com to see how Obama and McCain are doing on electoral votes state by state for the week of Sept 14:

Even with the Palin factor, Obama is still ahead 238 vs 224 electoral votes for McCain based on strong or leaning state poll results.

76 electroral votes are rated a tossup in states like OH (20 electoral votes), Mi (17), NH(4), NV(5), CO(9), Montana(3),VA(13), AK(5), MO (11), IN (11).... McCain leads in all of these states right now. Obama only leads in tossup NM(5). It takes 270 electoral votes to win.

If McCain wins in the tossup states where he currently leads, he will win the Presidency with 296 electoral votes against Obama's 243 votes. Let's hope issues will begin to dominate vs. personalities and likeability and the Palin effect will dissipate as voters get to know her credentials. McCain's lead is 1-3% in the tossup states where he is ahead.

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