Scatablog

The Aeration Zone: A liberal breath of fresh air

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Friday, September 19, 2008

Credit where credit is due

I've been quick to criticize Obama when I thought he was campaigning poorly, failing to stay on message, and hiding from the withering criticism of his opponents instead of fighting back. In the last two weeks or so, however, it seems to me he has turned the corner and addressed many of these criticisms. In my view he's still not forceful enough, but he's a lot better than he was earlier in the campaign, and it certainly seems to be paying off in the polls.


I'm still worried, however. He's seems now to have a five or six point lead nationally and within the MOE leads in many of the battleground states, and I'm afraid that's not going to be enough to offset the "Bradley effect." My guess is that there are at least 5 to 6 points against Obama missing from the polls either because respondents lie to avoid admitting they won't vote for an African American or because they simply won't answer the pollster's questions to avoid an admission.

So, let's hope the momentum continues in Obama's favor.

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