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Wednesday, April 12, 2006

Iran can now make glowing Mickey Mouse Watches

Juan Cole's assessment of Iran's nuclear program is just about right I think:

Iran Can Now Make glowing Mickey Mouse Watches

Despite all the sloppy and inaccurate headlines about Iran "going nuclear," the fact is that all President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Tuesday was that it had enriched uranium to a measely 3.5 percent, using a bank of 180 centrifuges hooked up so that they "cascade."

The ability to slightly enrich uranium is not the same as the ability to build a bomb. For the latter, you need at least 80% enrichment, which in turn would require about 16,000 small centrifuges hooked up to cascade. Iran does not have 16,000 centrifuges. It seems to have 180. Iran is a good ten years away from having a bomb, and since its leaders, including Supreme Jurisprudent Ali Khamenei, say they do not want an atomic bomb because it is Islamically immoral, you have to wonder if they will ever have a bomb.

And, now our government is saying they will have the bomb in 16 days!

1 Comments:

Blogger ChiTom said...

16 days? Hmm, they are good.

Maybe we should hire some Iranians for FEMA.

8:23 PM  

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