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Friday, January 04, 2008

Reading the Republican tea leaves

I'm not very good at reading tea leaves (real men drink coffee), but I'll try anyway. It seems very doubtful that Huckabee can go much further than he's already gone. So, where does that leave the Thuglicans? Romney suffered a real smack down in Iowa, so he's carrying festering wounds into the next primaries. I suppose if he can win convincingly in New Hampshire, that might put him back on track, but it looks as though McCain may give him a run for the money there. If McCain wins NH, all bets are off.

McCain is not well loved by the party faithful, but he is the darling of the media.

My best guess is that McCain pulls this out of the fire. Unfortunately, he's probably going to be the hardest Republican to beat in the general election.

Of course, there's always William Kristol's prediction: A hung convention turns at last to the only Thuglican acceptable to everyone (at the convention, that is), Dick Cheney.

1 Comments:

Blogger KISSWeb said...

I think Obama crushes McCain. He will be able to carry off the message, "John is a bona fide American hero, and he's a hell of a nice guy, and we've worked together on some things, but on the the most important things facing the country, bat-crazy wrong."

The genius we in Illinois have seen in Obama is the ability to disagree strongly on principle -- and to identify the basis for that disagreement strongly in terms that relate to the interests of voters -- without pushing it into a personal attack. It's why even losing opponents would say he was a "wonderful candidate." Sometimes progressives think he's getting soft, but in my observation the effect is exactly the opposite. Winning is never soft.

10:53 AM  

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